Cobra Sim
Basketball prop research & simulation (private build)
Private PreviewUpdated January 22, 2026
Not for public use
This site is currently for personal/internal use only. It is a work-in-progress learning project and does not have a paywall or public access controls yet. If/when that changes, this landing page will be updated.
No guarantees. No promises. This is research tooling — not financial advice.

A basketball prop edge-finder built around minutes, role, and price sensitivity.

Cobra Sim is being built to turn messy slate information (injuries, rotations, pace, matchup context, and lines) into a clean set of actionable betting suggestions. The goal is simple: find mispriced numbers, avoid bad prices, and protect bankroll through disciplined sizing.

Primary sport
NBA / Basketball
Focus
Props • Probabilities • EV
Status
In active development
What this will eventually show
  • • Slate dashboard with best edges by market (PTS / REB / AST / combos / 3PM)
  • • Model probabilities vs implied odds (edge %, EV, and confidence bands)
  • • Context layer: minutes projections, usage, rotation notes, pace, matchup
  • • Price sensitivity: “buy” numbers + “pass” numbers
  • • Result grading + tracking to keep the process honest
For now: this page stays text-only while the pipeline and access controls are being cleaned up.
How to use Cobra Sim suggestions (when live)
  1. Confirm minutes/role first. If a player’s minutes range is wide, treat the prop as high-variance until news locks.
  2. Shop lines. Small price improvements (or a half-point) often flip a bet from negative to positive EV.
  3. Respect downside. Blowout risk, foul trouble, and rotation volatility are real. Don’t size like the median is guaranteed.
  4. Play the number, not the player. If the market moves past your buy price, pass.
  5. Keep exposure capped. Per-prop, per-player, and per-game caps prevent one slate from nuking the bankroll.
Core principles this site is built around
  • • Edge = probability difference vs price (not vibes)
  • • Inputs that matter most: minutes, usage, pace, and matchup
  • • Late news is where the market misprices most often
  • • Discipline beats volume — pass is a position
  • • Tracking results is mandatory (process & variance)
If you’re seeing this page, it’s because the project is paused in “private build” mode.
Roadmap
Now
Stability & cleanup
Hardening the data pipeline, grading, and file structure so nothing breaks on slate days.
Next
Access control
Add authentication + paywall so it can be used safely without exposing private tooling.
Later
Full slate UI
Bring back dashboards, model outputs, and bet card views once permissions are in place.
© 2026 Cobra Sim • cobrasim.com
Disclaimer: This site provides research information only. Betting involves risk.