Cobra Sim • Bet Cards

Math computing for bettors — we crunch real-time odds into EV + Kelly sizing to surface mispriced lines.

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Index Jan 15, 2026, 01:55 PM

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Bet Cards

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42.7 KB • updated Jan 15, 2026, 01:55 PM

2026-01-04 2026-01-05 2026-01-06 2026-01-07 2026-01-10 2026-01-11 2026-01-12 2026-01-13 2026-01-14 2026-01-15

CLE@PHI DEN@DAL TOR@IND UTA@CHI WAS@LAC

Viewed Jan 14, 09:25 PM• 10.7 KB • rows 19

Runs 1

ec6a48c6

Jan 14, 09:25 PM

DEN@DAL2026-01-14 9:40 PM ETDEN@DALDenver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks

Jaden Hardy

DALSTARTER

BEST EDGE +0.262BEST KELLY +0.411TOTAL $114.28

Rows: 4

player_rebounds UNDER 2.5120.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.262KELLY +0.411STAKE $41.09

Model P67.9%

Implied45.5%

EV / $1+0.493

Proj Min—

Hist15/18

Hit rate83.3%

Start hit%100.0%

No-start hit%82.4%

Notesgame

player_points_rebounds UNDER 14.5-120.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.174KELLY +0.293STAKE $29.30

Model P67.9%

Implied54.5%

EV / $1+0.244

Proj Min—

Hist15/18

Hit rate83.3%

Start hit%100.0%

No-start hit%82.4%

Notesgame

player_points UNDER 11.5-125.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.158KELLY +0.277STAKE $27.70

Model P67.9%

Implied55.6%

EV / $1+0.222

Proj Min—

Hist15/18

Hit rate83.3%

Start hit%100.0%

No-start hit%82.4%

Notesgame

player_threes UNDER 1.5140.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.126KELLY +0.162STAKE $16.19

Model P51.1%

Implied41.7%

EV / $1+0.227

Proj Min—

Hist12/18

Hit rate66.7%

Start hit%100.0%

No-start hit%64.7%

Notesgame

Jalen Pickett

DENSTARTER

BEST EDGE +0.221BEST KELLY +0.401TOTAL $107.28

Rows: 6

player_points_rebounds UNDER 14.5-130.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.221KELLY +0.401STAKE $40.09

Model P74.0%

Implied56.5%

EV / $1+0.308

Proj Min—

Hist16/18

Hit rate88.9%

Start hit%66.7%

No-start hit%100.0%

Notesgame

player_points_assists UNDER 14.5-125.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.158KELLY +0.277STAKE $27.70

Model P67.9%

Implied55.6%

EV / $1+0.222

Proj Min—

Hist15/18

Hit rate83.3%

Start hit%66.7%

No-start hit%91.7%

Notesgame

player_points_rebounds_assists UNDER 18.5-115.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.121KELLY +0.184STAKE $18.44

Model P62.1%

Implied53.5%

EV / $1+0.160

Proj Min—

Hist14/18

Hit rate77.8%

Start hit%50.0%

No-start hit%91.7%

Notesgame

player_points UNDER 9.5-125.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.100KELLY +0.147STAKE $14.65

Model P62.1%

Implied55.6%

EV / $1+0.117

Proj Min—

Hist14/18

Hit rate77.8%

Start hit%50.0%

No-start hit%91.7%

Notesgame

player_threes UNDER 1.5-120.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.060KELLY +0.043STAKE $4.29

Model P56.5%

Implied54.5%

EV / $1+0.036

Proj Min—

Hist13/18

Hit rate72.2%

Start hit%50.0%

No-start hit%83.3%

Notesgame

player_rebounds_assists UNDER 8.5-125.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.045KELLY +0.021STAKE $2.11

Model P56.5%

Implied55.6%

EV / $1+0.017

Proj Min—

Hist13/18

Hit rate72.2%

Start hit%50.0%

No-start hit%83.3%

Notesgame

Peyton Watson

DENSTARTER

BEST EDGE +0.179BEST KELLY +0.309TOTAL $49.57

Rows: 2

player_rebounds_assists UNDER 9.5-115.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.179KELLY +0.309STAKE $30.91

Model P67.9%

Implied53.5%

EV / $1+0.269

Proj Min—

Hist15/18

Hit rate83.3%

Start hit%83.3%

No-start hit%—

Notesgame

player_points_rebounds_assists UNDER 29.5115.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.128KELLY +0.187STAKE $18.66

Model P56.5%

Implied46.5%

EV / $1+0.215

Proj Min—

Hist13/18

Hit rate72.2%

Start hit%72.2%

No-start hit%—

Notesgame

Naji Marshall

DALSTARTER

BEST EDGE +0.126BEST KELLY +0.203TOTAL $35.20

Rows: 3

player_points_rebounds_assists UNDER 24.5-110.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.126KELLY +0.203STAKE $20.34

Model P62.1%

Implied52.4%

EV / $1+0.185

Proj Min—

Hist14/18

Hit rate77.8%

Start hit%78.6%

No-start hit%75.0%

Notesgame

player_points_rebounds UNDER 21.5-130.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.102KELLY +0.128STAKE $12.75

Model P62.1%

Implied56.5%

EV / $1+0.098

Proj Min—

Hist14/18

Hit rate77.8%

Start hit%78.6%

No-start hit%75.0%

Notesgame

player_rebounds_assists UNDER 8.5-125.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.045KELLY +0.021STAKE $2.11

Model P56.5%

Implied55.6%

EV / $1+0.017

Proj Min—

Hist13/18

Hit rate72.2%

Start hit%71.4%

No-start hit%75.0%

Notesgame

Daniel Gafford

DALSTARTER

BEST EDGE +0.090BEST KELLY +0.128TOTAL $21.39

Rows: 2

player_points UNDER 9.5-130.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.090KELLY +0.128STAKE $12.75

Model P62.1%

Implied56.5%

EV / $1+0.098

Proj Min—

Hist14/18

Hit rate77.8%

Start hit%55.6%

No-start hit%100.0%

Notesgame

player_points_rebounds UNDER 16.5-110.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.084KELLY +0.086STAKE $8.64

Model P56.5%

Implied52.4%

EV / $1+0.079

Proj Min—

Hist13/18

Hit rate72.2%

Start hit%44.4%

No-start hit%100.0%

Notesgame

Zeke Nnaji

DENBENCH

BEST EDGE +0.111BEST KELLY +0.088TOTAL $8.79

Rows: 1

player_rebounds UNDER 4.5-125.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×0.6

EDGE +0.111KELLY +0.088STAKE $8.79

Model P62.1%

Implied55.6%

EV / $1+0.117

Proj Min—

Hist14/18

Hit rate77.8%

Start hit%100.0%

No-start hit%76.5%

Notesgame

Aaron Gordon

DENSTARTER

BEST EDGE +0.046BEST KELLY +0.019TOTAL $1.88

Rows: 1

player_assists UNDER 2.5-105.0BUYSCEN HIGHRISK×1.0

EDGE +0.046KELLY +0.019STAKE $1.88

Model P52.1%

Implied51.2%

EV / $1+0.018

Proj Min—

Hist11/16

Hit rate68.8%

Start hit%69.2%

No-start hit%66.7%

Notesgame